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Weather Update: Heavy Rainfall in Tamil Nadu, Kerala & Karnataka; Delhi to See Smoggy Mornings till Nov 3

Heavy rainfall is forecasted over Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Karnataka, while Delhi/NCR will see smog and fog during early mornings and nights. Above-normal temperatures are expected to persist across Northwest, Central, and Eastern India.

KJ Staff

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted diverse weather patterns across India in the coming days, with significant rainfall expected in parts of South India and elevated temperatures forecasted for the Northwest, Central, and Eastern regions. Additionally, residents of Delhi/NCR may encounter smog and shallow fog during night and early morning hours.

Weather Systems Influencing Rainfall

The rainfall patterns are primarily due to the following weather systems:

  1. Cyclonic Circulation over Gulf of Mannar: This system is affecting lower tropospheric levels.

  2. Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation over Southwest Bay of Bengal: This phenomenon is occurring off the coast of south Andhra Pradesh, impacting both lower and middle tropospheric levels.

  3. Cyclonic Circulation over Northeast Assam: This system is present in the lower tropospheric levels and will influence rainfall in nearby areas.

Rainfall Forecast and Warnings

The IMD has issued a rainfall forecast with region-specific warnings:

  • Tamil Nadu and Sikkim: Heavy rainfall is expected at isolated locations.

  • Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and South Interior Karnataka: These areas may experience light to moderate rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning from October 31 to November 4.

  • Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal: Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected between October 31 and November 3.

  • Kerala and Mahe: These regions may see heavy to very heavy rainfall from October 31 to November 3.

Region

Forecast Dates

Rainfall Type

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal

Oct 31 - Nov 3

Heavy to Very Heavy

Kerala & Mahe

Oct 31 - Nov 3

Heavy to Very Heavy

South Interior Karnataka

Oct 31 - Nov 2

Light to Moderate

Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Telangana

Oct 31 - Nov 1

Light to Moderate

Konkan, Goa, and Madhya Maharashtra

Oct 31 - Nov 1

Light to Moderate

Temperature Forecast for the Next 7 Days

Above-normal temperatures are forecasted to persist across Northwest, Central, and parts of Eastern India for the coming week:

  • Northwest India: Maximum and minimum temperatures are expected to remain 3-7°C above normal.

  • Central, Western, and Eastern India: Minimum temperatures may rise 3-5°C above typical averages.

Delhi/NCR Weather Forecast (October 31 - November 3)

Delhi and the surrounding National Capital Region (NCR) are likely to experience shallow fog, mist, and smog during early morning and night hours, with fluctuating wind patterns over the next few days.

Date

Weather

Morning Wind Speed

Afternoon Wind Speed

Night Conditions

Oct 31, 2024

Mainly clear sky

4-10 kmph (NW)

8-15 kmph

Shallow fog/mist

Nov 1, 2024

Mainly clear sky

4-10 kmph (NW)

10-14 kmph

Smog/shallow fog/mist

Nov 2, 2024

Mainly clear sky

Up to 4 kmph (NE/E)

6-8 kmph

Shallow fog/mist

Nov 3, 2024

Mainly clear sky

Up to 8 kmph (SE/E)

Up to 6 kmph

Smog/shallow fog/mist

 

Residents in the affected areas, especially in South India, are advised to remain cautious during periods of heavy rainfall. Additionally, residents of Delhi/NCR should take measures to reduce exposure to smog, particularly during nighttime and early morning hours.

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