The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued its latest weather forecast, highlighting the formation of cyclonic systems, rainfall predictions, and dense fog conditions across various regions. Here’s detailed analysis of current weather conditions, forecasts, and potential impacts across the country.
Cyclonic Circulations and Low-Pressure Developments
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Equatorial Indian Ocean: A cyclonic circulation formed off the Sumatra coast and adjoining South Andaman Sea at lower tropospheric levels on November 21. This system is expected to evolve into a low-pressure area over the southeast Bay of Bengal by November 23, intensifying into a depression over the central parts of the south Bay of Bengal within two days.
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Comorin Area: Another cyclonic circulation is currently active in the Comorin region and surrounding areas, contributing to localized weather changes.
Rainfall Forecast and Warnings
The IMD has issued rainfall alerts for several regions as cyclonic systems intensify over the Bay of Bengal and Comorin area. Heavy to very heavy rains are anticipated in parts of Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh, and the Andaman & Nicobar Islands, with isolated thunderstorms and hailstorms in northeastern states. Here's a region-wise analysis of the rainfall forecast for the coming days.
|
Region |
Rainfall Forecast |
Dates |
|
Andaman & Nicobar Islands |
Light to moderate rain throughout the week; heavy rainfall over Nicobar Islands. |
Nov 22–24 |
|
South Tamil Nadu |
Heavy to very heavy rainfall. |
Nov 21, 25–27 |
|
Kerala & Mahe |
Light to moderate rain; isolated heavy showers. |
Nov 21, 26–27 |
|
Coastal Andhra Pradesh |
Heavy to very heavy rainfall. |
Nov 26–27 |
|
Rayalaseema |
Heavy rainfall. |
Nov 26–27 |
|
Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura |
Light to moderate rain; isolated hailstorm in Manipur and Meghalaya. |
Nov 21–22 |
Dense Fog Alert
Foggy conditions are likely in the following regions:
|
Region |
Fog Intensity |
Dates |
|
East Uttar Pradesh |
Dense fog. |
Late night Nov 21–22 |
|
Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh |
Dense fog. |
Late night Nov 22–24 |
|
Dense fog. |
Late night Nov 23–26 |
|
|
North India |
Shallow to moderate fog. |
Nov 21–22 |
Temperature Trends
India's temperature patterns have shown stability over the past 24 hours, with no significant changes in minimum temperatures across most regions. However, notable variations persist, with some areas experiencing above-normal temperatures while others remain below normal. Here's a closer look at the current conditions and the forecast for the coming days.
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Current Conditions: Minimum temperatures remain near normal across most parts of India, with slight variations:
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Above normal by 3–5°C in isolated areas of Bihar, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura.
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Below normal by 3–5°C in East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Telangana, and Coastal Andhra Pradesh.
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No significant change in minimum temperatures is expected over the next five days.
Delhi/NCR Weather Overview
Delhi and its surrounding regions are witnessing a gradual drop in temperatures, signaling the onset of winter. With clear skies dominating the days, the mornings and evenings are marked by smog and shallow fog, reducing visibility in some areas. Predominant northwest winds and cooler nights are expected to continue, keeping the minimum temperature below normal.
|
Date |
Max Temp (°C) |
Min Temp (°C) |
Weather Conditions |
|
Nov 21 |
24–27°C |
8–12°C |
Clear skies, smog in evening. |
|
Nov 22–24 |
24–27°C |
8–12°C |
Clear skies, fog in morning. |
Wind speeds in the region will range between 6–10 kmph, predominantly from the northwest during nights and west during afternoons. Visibility may remain low in the early mornings due to fog.
Residents are advised to stay alert as heavy rainfall may lead to potential flooding in Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Coastal Andhra Pradesh. Dense fog conditions are likely to disrupt transportation in parts of Punjab, Haryana, and Himachal Pradesh. Meanwhile, Delhi/NCR can expect cooler temperatures and persistent smog throughout the week, requiring caution during early mornings and evenings.
