India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued an updated weather forecast, signaling significant rainfall in several regions and the gradual withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon. On October 13, 2024, the IMD reported heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal, with heavy rainfall also expected over East Rajasthan, West Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, and Odisha.
Southwest Monsoon Withdrawal & Northeast Monsoon Onset
The Southwest Monsoon has further withdrawn from Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Sikkim, and parts of Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Assam, and Meghalaya. The withdrawal line now runs through:
In the next two days, the monsoon is likely to retreat from Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and parts of Maharashtra, with complete withdrawal expected in the subsequent two days. Simultaneously, the onset of the Northeast Monsoon is anticipated, bringing easterly and northeasterly winds across southern India and parts of the Bay of Bengal.
Rainfall Forecast (October 13-18, 2024)
South India:
-
Heavy to Extremely Heavy Rainfall: Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal on October 16, Rayalaseema from October 15-17, Coastal Andhra Pradesh on October 15-16.
-
Scattered Rainfall: Kerala, Karnataka, and Lakshadweep will witness moderate rainfall throughout the week.
West & Central India:
-
Gujarat: Scattered light to moderate rainfall expected over the next two days.
-
Isolated Rainfall: West Madhya Pradesh, Konkan, Goa, and Maharashtra on October 13, with Konkan & Goa experiencing heavy showers on October 17.
North India:
-
East Rajasthan: Heavy rain on October 13.
Northeast & East India:
-
No significant rainfall is predicted during this period.
|
Region |
Date |
Expected Rainfall |
|
Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal |
Oct 13-17 |
Very heavy rainfall; extremely heavy on October 16 |
|
Rayalaseema |
Oct 15-17 |
Heavy rainfall; extremely heavy on October 16 |
|
Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam |
Oct 15-16 |
Very heavy rainfall |
|
Kerala & Mahe |
Oct 13-18 |
Scattered heavy rainfall |
|
Gujarat, Maharashtra |
Oct 13-17 |
Light to moderate rainfall, isolated heavy showers |
|
East Rajasthan |
Oct 13 |
Isolated heavy rainfall |
|
Konkan & Goa |
Oct 17 |
Heavy rainfall |
IMD’s forecast highlights the shift from the Southwest to Northeast Monsoons, with heavy rain expected in Tamil Nadu and surrounding areas. Stay tuned for local weather advisories and updates.
